Всероссийские студенческие соревнования билайна 2023 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionССинергияwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
СКСъезд КПССloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Синергия
No games played over 6 months.
Съезд КПСС
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
213 picks · 270 bans
Pangolier
179 picks · 384 bans
Sven
177 picks · 253 bans
Earthshaker
165 picks · 164 bans
Grimstroke
162 picks · 153 bans
Dark Willow
160 picks · 68 bans
Earth Spirit
153 picks · 231 bans
Skywrath Mage
151 picks · 85 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Синергия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Съезд КПСС
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Синергия 44%Съезд КПСС 56%
The model gave 56% on Съезд КПСС — the game was taken by Синергия.
Game 2prediction missed
Синергия 44%Съезд КПСС 56%
The model gave 56% on Съезд КПСС — the game was taken by Синергия.
Model check result
Model favoriteСъезд КПСС · 56%
Series resultСинергия 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2