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The International 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
9Pandaswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 38 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 31 game
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
74%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
62%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 28 games
79%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
74%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
65%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
73%

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 42 games
64%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 41 game
61%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 32 games
78%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 31 game
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 29 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 28 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 25 games
48%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 24 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
263 picks · 133 bans
42%
Pangolier
Pangolier
213 picks · 445 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
211 picks · 270 bans
51%
Sven
Sven
189 picks · 262 bans
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
176 picks · 106 bans
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
174 picks · 372 bans
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
172 picks · 324 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
167 picks · 227 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total73% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:20
BETBOOM TEAM 61%9Pandas 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNightfall
42% · 33 games50% · 45 games
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Puck
PuckgpK~
55% · 79 games56% · 70 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerPure~
41% · 41 game55% · 105 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
46% · 105 games48% · 104 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
53% · 120 games48% · 54 games
WarlockSolo
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed14:30
BETBOOM TEAM 62%9Pandas 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 45:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaNightfall
36% · 18 games51% · 92 games
Linakiyotaka
Lina
Lone Druid
Lone DruidPure~
50% · 16 games51% · 72 games
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
48% · 150 games53% · 18 games
Wraith KingMieRo
Wraith King
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSave-
51% · 144 games49% · 148 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 57 games57% · 55 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Game 3prediction missed10:21
BETBOOM TEAM 62%9Pandas 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
57% · 175 games53% · 93 games
SvenRAMZES666
Sven
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightNightfall
44% · 65 games50% · 104 games
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
Earth Spirit
Kunkka
KunkkagpK~
50% · 81 game60% · 26 games
Wraith KingMieRo
Wraith King
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
46% · 99 games50% · 131 game
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
41% · 113 games53% · 179 games
Treant ProtectorSolo
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 73%
Series result9Pandas 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3