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The International 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azure Rayloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 38 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 31 game
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
74%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
62%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 28 games
79%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
74%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
65%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
73%

Azure Ray

Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Somnus · 11 games
73%
Pugna
Pugna
天命 · 11 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Somnus · 11 games
55%
Doom
Doomsignature
fy · 10 games
70%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
lou · 10 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
fy · 9 games
100%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
天命 · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
263 picks · 133 bans
42%
Pangolier
Pangolier
209 picks · 433 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
205 picks · 267 bans
50%
Sven
Sven
186 picks · 259 bans
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
174 picks · 369 bans
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
173 picks · 106 bans
56%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
172 picks · 321 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
167 picks · 227 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:22
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Azure Ray 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
45% · 135 games54% · 112 games
Terrorbladelou
Terrorblade
Night Stalker
Night StalkerNightfall
39% · 27 games56% · 109 games
Primal BeastSomnus
Primal Beast
Tidehunter
TidehunterPure~
49% · 139 games49% · 52 games
BrewmasterChalice
Brewmaster
Bane
BaneSave-
43% · 25 games53% · 11 games
Weaverfy
Weaver
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 98 games57% · 140 games
Batrider天命
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct45:10
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Azure Ray 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightNightfall
43% · 71 game53% · 39 games
Troll Warlordlou
Troll Warlord
Axe
AxePure~
42% · 36 games41% · 13 games
BristlebackChalice
Bristleback
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
51% · 153 games54% · 85 games
Primal BeastSomnus
Primal Beast
Oracle
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 30 games53% · 117 games
Silencerfy
Silencer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
50% · 75 games51% · 111 games
Clockwerk天命
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2