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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
StoRmloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 21 game
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
OwnedMe · 13 games
77%
Silencer
Silencer
MiLAN · 13 games
54%
Sven
Svensignature
Daxak · 13 games
62%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Daxak · 11 games
82%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Lorenof · 11 games
73%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
swedenstrong · 10 games
70%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Lorenof · 10 games
80%

StoRm

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
OneJey · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Dominic · 16 games
63%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Dominic · 11 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 10 games
40%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
nicky`cool · 10 games
50%
Techies
Techies
OneJey · 9 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
SoNNeikO · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
286 picks · 139 bans
44%
Pangolier
Pangolier
200 picks · 408 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
194 picks · 253 bans
49%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
180 picks · 383 bans
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
180 picks · 331 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
178 picks · 256 bans
53%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
175 picks · 104 bans
55%
Sven
Sven
170 picks · 245 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Level UP 75%StoRm 25%
The model gave 75% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 75%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1