European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Enjoy Boysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Warlock
Se · 22 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 21 game
Tiny
Jing · 20 games
Tusk
Daze · 19 games
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
Puckoften banned
niche · 16 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
494 picks · 272 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 553 bans
Jakiro
463 picks · 373 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
389 picks · 332 bans
Beastmaster
354 picks · 829 bans
Puck
349 picks · 848 bans
Warlock
331 picks · 192 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Enjoy Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:11
Inner Circle 63%Enjoy Boys 37%
The model gave 63% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 38:45.
Game 2prediction correct22:10
Inner Circle 63%Enjoy Boys 37%
The model gave 63% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 43:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 63%
Series resultInner Circle 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2