BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamwin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 4 games
Ursa
Dinozavrik · 4 games
Zeusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Abaddon
Dinozavrik · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Dragon Knight
XaKoH · 3 games
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
298 picks · 150 bans
Pangolier
210 picks · 409 bans
Ember Spirit
205 picks · 273 bans
Beastmaster
191 picks · 385 bans
Skywrath Mage
184 picks · 109 bans
Dark Seer
183 picks · 348 bans
Storm Spirit
176 picks · 264 bans
Vengeful Spirit
175 picks · 251 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% TpaBoMaH Team
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total51% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:20
YBN Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 33:42.
Game 2prediction correct10:35
YBN Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 28:47.
Game 3prediction missed43:23
YBN Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 46:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 51%
Series resultYBN Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3