BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO1
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GoodWin Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
309 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
220 picks · 287 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 417 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 390 bans
Skywrath Mage
192 picks · 109 bans
Storm Spirit
188 picks · 274 bans
Dark Seer
186 picks · 355 bans
Vengeful Spirit
174 picks · 247 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:40
Stray Team 57%GoodWin Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Stray Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 57:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 57%
Series resultGoodWin Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1