BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 1:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Stray Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
309 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 287 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 415 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 389 bans
Skywrath Mage
192 picks · 109 bans
Storm Spirit
188 picks · 273 bans
Dark Seer
185 picks · 354 bans
Vengeful Spirit
173 picks · 247 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total58% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:30
Nix Team 58%Stray Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 46:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 58%
Series resultNix Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1