2022 Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Узбекистанwin 1:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Мьянмаloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Узбекистан
No games played over 6 months.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
308 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 287 bans
Pangolier
211 picks · 413 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 388 bans
Skywrath Mage
192 picks · 109 bans
Storm Spirit
188 picks · 273 bans
Dark Seer
185 picks · 353 bans
Vengeful Spirit
173 picks · 244 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Узбекистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Мьянма
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Узбекистан 36%Мьянма 64%
The model gave 64% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Узбекистан.
Model check result
Model favoriteМьянма · 64%
Series resultУзбекистан 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1