BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO1
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
YBN Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 4 games
Ursa
Dinozavrik · 4 games
Zeusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Abaddon
Dinozavrik · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Dragon Knight
XaKoH · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
315 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
234 picks · 297 bans
Pangolier
213 picks · 419 bans
Beastmaster
198 picks · 410 bans
Skywrath Mage
197 picks · 113 bans
Storm Spirit
195 picks · 285 bans
Dark Seer
191 picks · 362 bans
Doom
178 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total60% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:38
GoodWin Team 40%YBN Team 60%
The model gave 60% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 32:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 60%
Series resultYBN Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1