BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GoodWin Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
316 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
234 picks · 297 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 418 bans
Beastmaster
198 picks · 410 bans
Skywrath Mage
197 picks · 112 bans
Storm Spirit
196 picks · 285 bans
Dark Seer
191 picks · 361 bans
Doom
178 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total64% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:40
Nix Team 64%GoodWin Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 46:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 64%
Series resultNix Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1