BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO1
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
321 picks · 159 bans
Ember Spirit
238 picks · 307 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 418 bans
Storm Spirit
198 picks · 296 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 415 bans
Dark Seer
194 picks · 368 bans
Skywrath Mage
194 picks · 111 bans
Batrider
183 picks · 271 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total68% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:6
GoodWin Team 32%TpaBoMaH Team 68%
The model gave 68% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 21:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 68%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1