Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #4 · BO3
result vs prediction
MoneyMakerswin 2:0series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MoneyMakers
Beastmasteroften banned
Bb3px · 19 games
Disruptor
Bignum · 13 games
Rubick
Bignum · 13 games
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
Techies
Bignum · 10 games
Doomoften banned
Bb3px · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 9 games
Phoenixoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
326 picks · 160 bans
Ember Spirit
242 picks · 313 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 421 bans
Storm Spirit
199 picks · 304 bans
Beastmaster
198 picks · 418 bans
Dark Seer
196 picks · 373 bans
Skywrath Mage
195 picks · 113 bans
Batrider
183 picks · 278 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:25
MoneyMakers 28%4 Zoomers 72%
The model gave 72% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by MoneyMakers in 40:43.
Game 2prediction missed11:35
MoneyMakers 28%4 Zoomers 72%
The model gave 72% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by MoneyMakers in 35:30.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 72%
Series resultMoneyMakers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2