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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 25 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Fly · 23 games
74%
Rubick
Rubick
Cr1t- · 21 game
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 21 game
62%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
65%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 20 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Abed · 16 games
69%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 36 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
77%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
74%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
84%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
343 picks · 165 bans
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
259 picks · 340 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
212 picks · 433 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
208 picks · 330 bans
51%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
206 picks · 393 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
204 picks · 436 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
202 picks · 291 bans
56%
Undying
Undying
202 picks · 364 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:9
Shopify Rebellion 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 44:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinArteezy
40% · 99 games38% · 10 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Razor
RazorAbed
42% · 39 games57% · 63 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
47% · 39 games59% · 122 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Dark Willow
Dark WillowCr1t-
44% · 57 games53% · 128 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorFly
50% · 118 games54% · 29 games
BaneSave-
Bane
Game 2prediction correct14:24
Shopify Rebellion 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaArteezy
54% · 14 games51% · 29 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
48% · 204 games55% · 159 games
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Tidehunter
TidehunterSabeRLight-
50% · 64 games47% · 29 games
AxePure~
Axe
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetFly
50% · 90 games52% · 59 games
BaneSave-
Bane
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCr1t-
51% · 38 games45% · 134 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Game 3prediction missed34:18
Shopify Rebellion 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 47:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidArteezy
54% · 95 games40% · 60 games
Phantom AssassinNightfall
Phantom Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
57% · 223 games46% · 30 games
AxePure~
Axe
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSabeRLight-
58% · 31 game49% · 150 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Warlock
WarlockFly
52% · 42 games43% · 124 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCr1t-
55% · 56 games45% · 83 games
InvokerTORONTOTOKYO
Invoker
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3