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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 36 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
77%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 26 games
73%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
84%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
64%

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 28 games
54%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Ceb · 19 games
68%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yuragi · 18 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 17 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Chuvash · 17 games
47%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
DM · 17 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
347 picks · 167 bans
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
264 picks · 348 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
215 picks · 435 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
209 picks · 342 bans
51%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
207 picks · 397 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
207 picks · 367 bans
45%
Batrider
Batrider
206 picks · 296 bans
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
204 picks · 446 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 32%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:10
BETBOOM TEAM 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
49% · 56 games50% · 214 games
TerrorbladeYuragi
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
50% · 359 games48% · 304 games
DoomMinD_ContRoL
Doom
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritgpK~
47% · 81 game54% · 180 games
Nature's ProphetCeb
Nature's Prophet
Bane
BaneSave-
51% · 29 games49% · 80 games
Kunkkabzm
Kunkka
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 253 games
Game 2prediction correct34:18
BETBOOM TEAM 68%OG 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:09:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
46% · 108 games59% · 53 games
Zeusbzm
Zeus
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
44% · 41 game51% · 121 game
UrsaYuragi
Ursa
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
36% · 38 games58% · 169 games
Primal BeastMinD_ContRoL
Primal Beast
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
53% · 41 game40% · 21 game
BaneCeb
Bane
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 136 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2