DreamLeague Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 32 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
350 picks · 171 bans
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
216 picks · 440 bans
Batrider
213 picks · 305 bans
Storm Spirit
212 picks · 342 bans
Dark Seer
211 picks · 405 bans
Undying
211 picks · 379 bans
Beastmaster
205 picks · 450 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 47%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:10
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Entity 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:17.
Game 2prediction correct32:6
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Entity 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2