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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 46 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 41 game
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 38 games
66%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 36 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 34 games
76%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 34 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 38 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 31 game
77%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 25 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 24 games
63%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kaori · 24 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 21 game
62%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 19 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
OmaR · 18 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 176 bans
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 382 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
222 picks · 357 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
222 picks · 397 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
220 picks · 319 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
219 picks · 440 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
214 picks · 412 bans
52%
Morphling
Morphling
207 picks · 379 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total79% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:10
Gaimin Gladiators 64%PSG Quest 36%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
48% · 51 game60% · 109 games
Naga SirenTA2000
Naga Siren
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
55% · 126 games55% · 114 games
PuckNo!ob
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritQuinn
42% · 116 games50% · 215 games
BeastmasterTobi
Beastmaster
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemontOfu
46% · 106 games44% · 54 games
Dark WillowOmaR
Dark Willow
Marci
MarciSeleri
47% · 129 games46% · 36 games
Ancient ApparitionKaori
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct28:15
Gaimin Gladiators 65%PSG Quest 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
49% · 283 games48% · 41 game
Phantom LancerTA2000
Phantom Lancer
Invoker
InvokerQuinn
43% · 120 games56% · 171 game
BeastmasterTobi
Beastmaster
Sand King
Sand KingAce
35% · 12 games53% · 58 games
Earth SpiritNo!ob
Earth Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
53% · 82 games60% · 43 games
Shadow DemonKaori
Shadow Demon
Dazzle
DazzletOfu
40% · 15 games48% · 199 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 79%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2