DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 48 games
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 41 game
Techies
Antares · 35 games
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 32 games
Rubick
Antares · 32 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
368 picks · 178 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 395 bans
Undying
231 picks · 408 bans
Storm Spirit
230 picks · 361 bans
Batrider
222 picks · 338 bans
Pangolier
220 picks · 442 bans
Dark Seer
216 picks · 419 bans
Morphling
213 picks · 395 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:25
Entity 45%9Pandas 55%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 42:34.
Game 2prediction correct28:34
Entity 45%9Pandas 55%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 37:08.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 55%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2