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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 0:2
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 29 games
41%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Wisper · 26 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 26 games
35%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 25 games
56%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Matthew · 23 games
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 22 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Chris Luck · 21 game
52%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
45%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 42 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 36 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 33 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
371 picks · 181 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
285 picks · 403 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
239 picks · 415 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
229 picks · 371 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
226 picks · 351 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
222 picks · 448 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
217 picks · 426 bans
52%
Morphling
Morphling
217 picks · 405 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 57%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total89% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:23
Evil Geniuses 26%Gaimin Gladiators 74%
The model gave 74% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPakazs
47% · 147 games46% · 183 games
Terrorbladedyrachyo
Terrorblade
Earthshaker
EarthshakerChris Luck
53% · 76 games57% · 120 games
LycanAce
Lycan
Mars
MarsWisper
46% · 90 games53% · 153 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMatthew
53% · 107 games49% · 138 games
Keeper of the LighttOfu
Keeper of the Light
Silencer
SilencerPanda
45% · 251 game51% · 77 games
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct13:28
Evil Geniuses 26%Gaimin Gladiators 74%
The model gave 74% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPakazs
52% · 124 games50% · 90 games
EarthshakerAce
Earthshaker
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerChris Luck
45% · 112 games52% · 61 game
SniperQuinn
Sniper
Lone Druid
Lone DruidWisper
54% · 14 games59% · 72 games
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
Faceless Void
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMatthew
53% · 169 games52% · 264 games
SnapfiretOfu
Snapfire
Phoenix
PhoenixPanda
40% · 109 games43% · 41 game
WarlockSeleri
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 89%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2