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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 48 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 39 games
59%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 32 games
53%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 30 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 28 games
54%

Tundra Esports

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 35 games
54%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 30 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 29 games
72%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Saksa · 26 games
69%
Techies
Techiessignature
Sneyking · 26 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 25 games
64%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Sneyking · 23 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Nine · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
373 picks · 181 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
285 picks · 406 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
241 picks · 416 bans
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
230 picks · 374 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
229 picks · 353 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
222 picks · 447 bans
52%
Morphling
Morphling
220 picks · 407 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
219 picks · 175 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 34%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:15
9Pandas 56%Tundra Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
62% · 67 games41% · 93 games
SvenSkiter
Sven
Earthshaker
Earthshakerkiyotaka
46% · 69 games42% · 65 games
Earth SpiritTopson
Earth Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
58% · 213 games42% · 11 games
Bristleback33
Bristleback
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
59% · 105 games49% · 233 games
EnchantressSneyking
Enchantress
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSolo
48% · 50 games46% · 102 games
Shadow DemonNine
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed20:38
9Pandas 52%Tundra Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 44:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
45% · 79 games53% · 183 games
PangolierTopson
Pangolier
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
44% · 85 games50% · 58 games
Dawnbreaker33
Dawnbreaker
Lycan
LycanMieRo
49% · 102 games52% · 65 games
SlarkSkiter
Slark
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
53% · 127 games58% · 106 games
Nature's ProphetSneyking
Nature's Prophet
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSolo
43% · 64 games49% · 45 games
GrimstrokeNine
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2