?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 26 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
83%

Team Spirit

Rubick
Rubick
Mira · 33 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Larl · 27 games
59%
Lich
Lichsignature
Miposhka · 26 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 23 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 19 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Collapse · 18 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 18 games
61%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 185 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
291 picks · 412 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
244 picks · 423 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
232 picks · 361 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
232 picks · 379 bans
50%
Morphling
Morphling
225 picks · 417 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
225 picks · 181 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
224 picks · 437 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:38
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenNightfall
56% · 86 games56% · 94 games
UrsaYatoro
Ursa
Earthshaker
EarthshakergpK~
44% · 58 games59% · 16 games
OmniknightCollapse
Omniknight
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
37% · 30 games55% · 58 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
46% · 57 games53% · 141 game
Nature's ProphetMira
Nature's Prophet
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
39% · 88 games55% · 10 games
Ancient ApparitionMiposhka
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed30:35
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 53:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
54% · 34 games41% · 40 games
Phantom AssassinYatoro
Phantom Assassin
Axe
AxePure~
56% · 5 games44% · 25 games
KunkkaLarl
Kunkka
Invoker
InvokergpK~
61% · 59 games43% · 59 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 44 games56% · 11 games
Ancient ApparitionMiposhka
Ancient Apparition
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
55% · 54 games43% · 61 game
Vengeful SpiritMira
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2