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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 36 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 30 games
80%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 21 game
62%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 21 game
67%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Kaori · 21 game
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 19 games
53%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
No!ob · 18 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
72%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
68%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 26 games
65%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 185 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
296 picks · 416 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
248 picks · 427 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
234 picks · 380 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
233 picks · 369 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
231 picks · 182 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
225 picks · 422 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 431 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:40
PSG Quest 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeShad
48% · 232 games47% · 189 games
Monkey KingNightfall
Monkey King
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNo!ob
58% · 88 games48% · 155 games
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Dark Seer
Dark SeerTobi
56% · 135 games49% · 322 games
BeastmasterPure~
Beastmaster
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetOmaR
52% · 220 games45% · 134 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Silencer
SilencerKaori
53% · 218 games43% · 93 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct12:32
PSG Quest 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenShad
60% · 111 games49% · 120 games
SvenNightfall
Sven
Tiny
TinyNo!ob
50% · 215 games55% · 316 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Phoenix
PhoenixKaori
44% · 77 games46% · 125 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Earthshaker
EarthshakerTobi
50% · 66 games45% · 129 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Rubick
RubickOmaR
46% · 420 games54% · 199 games
Skywrath MageSave-
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2