?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 21 game
62%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 15 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 14 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Armel · 14 games
36%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
54%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
46%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Armel · 13 games
31%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 40 games
63%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 39 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 32 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 193 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
310 picks · 447 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
270 picks · 452 bans
46%
Techies
Techies
264 picks · 216 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
251 picks · 409 bans
55%
Morphling
Morphling
249 picks · 462 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
245 picks · 414 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
225 picks · 451 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 58%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total87% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Team Secret 28%Gaimin Gladiators 72%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25573:49:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorFbz
58% · 30 games39% · 63 games
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Sven
SvenCrystallis
55% · 58 games42% · 51 game
PuckQuinn
Puck
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSumaiL
46% · 40 games56% · 53 games
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
Gyrocopter
Elder Titan
Elder Titanyamich
50% · 20 games59% · 30 games
WarlockSeleri
Warlock
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPuppey
51% · 55 games43% · 6 games
Winter WyverntOfu
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct11:28
Team Secret 27%Gaimin Gladiators 73%
The model gave 73% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeCrystallis
48% · 140 games51% · 88 games
Svendyrachyo
Sven
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFbz
48% · 205 games51% · 55 games
RazorQuinn
Razor
Invoker
InvokerSumaiL
49% · 76 games50% · 185 games
TidehunterAce
Tidehunter
Batrider
Batrideryamich
52% · 177 games50% · 122 games
PhoenixtOfu
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonPuppey
52% · 73 games50% · 221 game
Treant ProtectorSeleri
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 87%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2