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BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 0:1
series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Matthew · 30 games
43%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 26 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 26 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Wisper · 25 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 23 games
65%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Panda · 22 games
55%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Chris Luck · 21 game
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Pakazs · 21 game
62%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 40 games
63%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 39 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 32 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
399 picks · 192 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 455 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
274 picks · 458 bans
46%
Techies
Techies
271 picks · 233 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
255 picks · 480 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
252 picks · 424 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
245 picks · 424 bans
51%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
233 picks · 558 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 58%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total91% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Evil Geniuses 9%Gaimin Gladiators 91%
The model gave 91% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 91%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1