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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SIBE Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 15 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 8 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Kiri · 7 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 7 games
29%
Tiny
Tiny
Kiri · 7 games
43%

SIBE Team

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
nesfeer · 8 games
38%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
y0nd · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 7 games
43%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
y0nd · 7 games
43%
Doom
Doomoften banned
klassnokruto · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
erase · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
erase · 6 games
17%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
404 picks · 194 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 462 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
279 picks · 251 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
279 picks · 463 bans
45%
Morphling
Morphling
260 picks · 493 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
257 picks · 439 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
248 picks · 434 bans
51%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
241 picks · 575 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:46
Infinity Esports 65%SIBE Team 35%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 34:11.
Game 2prediction missed20:40
Infinity Esports 65%SIBE Team 35%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 44:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 65%
Series resultSIBE Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2