BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
beastcoastloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 29 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
405 picks · 195 bans
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 465 bans
Undying
280 picks · 466 bans
Techies
279 picks · 257 bans
Morphling
262 picks · 497 bans
Batrider
257 picks · 445 bans
Storm Spirit
249 picks · 437 bans
Timbersaw
244 picks · 577 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 31%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 65%beastcoast 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM.
Game 2prediction missed
BETBOOM TEAM 65%beastcoast 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Game 3prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 65%beastcoast 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3