BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:1series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:1
beastcoastwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy
Disruptor
GH · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 18 games
Enchantresssignature
KuroKy · 17 games
Timbersawoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 15 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Yuma · 10 games
Iooften banned
GH · 10 games
Snapfireoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 10 games
Chensignature
KuroKy · 8 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
405 picks · 196 bans
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 465 bans
Techies
280 picks · 257 bans
Undying
280 picks · 466 bans
Morphling
263 picks · 499 bans
Batrider
259 picks · 446 bans
Storm Spirit
249 picks · 438 bans
Timbersaw
244 picks · 578 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total84% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nigma Galaxy 16%beastcoast 84%
The model gave 84% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 84%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1