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BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TSMloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 29 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 27 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
83%

TSM

Rubick
Rubick
Ari · 46 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 27 games
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Timado · 18 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 17 games
53%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
kasane · 17 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Whitemon · 14 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
bryle- · 14 games
29%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
kasane · 13 games
31%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
405 picks · 196 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 465 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
280 picks · 257 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
280 picks · 466 bans
45%
Morphling
Morphling
263 picks · 499 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
259 picks · 446 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
249 picks · 438 bans
51%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
244 picks · 578 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 30%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total82% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 82%TSM 18%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 82%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1