BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Secret
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 21 game
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 14 games
Snapfireoften banned
Armel · 14 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Armel · 13 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
407 picks · 195 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 468 bans
Techies
284 picks · 265 bans
Undying
283 picks · 466 bans
Morphling
267 picks · 506 bans
Batrider
261 picks · 454 bans
Storm Spirit
250 picks · 445 bans
Timbersaw
246 picks · 586 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total52% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:15
Team Secret 52%beastcoast 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 38:36.
Game 2prediction correct35:9
Team Secret 52%beastcoast 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 30:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 52%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2