BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:1series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:1
beastcoastwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 39 games
Rubick
Antares · 36 games
Techies
Antares · 35 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 28 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
414 picks · 195 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 473 bans
Techies
288 picks · 275 bans
Undying
285 picks · 467 bans
Morphling
273 picks · 511 bans
Batrider
268 picks · 461 bans
Storm Spirit
250 picks · 449 bans
Timbersaw
248 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 30%
Hero pool strength57% 9Pandas
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total71% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:33
9Pandas 71%beastcoast 29%
The model gave 71% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by beastcoast in 41:52.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 71%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1