BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TSMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 29 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
TSM
Rubick
Ari · 45 games
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 27 games
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 17 games
Lycanoften banned
kasane · 17 games
Terrorbladesignature
Timado · 17 games
Disruptor
Whitemon · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
kasane · 13 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
bryle- · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
416 picks · 200 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 478 bans
Techies
291 picks · 292 bans
Undying
286 picks · 466 bans
Morphling
281 picks · 523 bans
Batrider
274 picks · 468 bans
Timbersaw
251 picks · 606 bans
Storm Spirit
249 picks · 457 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 25%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:28
BETBOOM TEAM 63%TSM 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by TSM in 42:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenNightfall
Troll WarlordTimado
EarthshakergpK~
Pangolierbryle-
AxePure~
Razorkasane
Dark WillowSave-
MarciAri
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
Vengeful SpiritWhitemon
Game 2prediction correct22:6
BETBOOM TEAM 64%TSM 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenNightfall
Templar AssassinTimado
DazzlePure~
Death Prophetkasane
Primal BeastgpK~
Pangolierbryle-
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Vengeful SpiritWhitemon
GrimstrokeSave-
MarciAri
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Accuracy by game1 of 2