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BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Disruptor
Disruptor
GH · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
KuroKy · 17 games
71%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 15 games
47%
Io
Iooften banned
GH · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
KuroKy · 10 games
40%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Yuma · 9 games
44%
Chen
Chensignature
KuroKy · 8 games
63%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 49 games
71%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 41 game
66%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 39 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 39 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 32 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
419 picks · 199 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 483 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
303 picks · 299 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
285 picks · 471 bans
45%
Morphling
Morphling
284 picks · 537 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
280 picks · 479 bans
54%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
256 picks · 615 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
251 picks · 465 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:36
Nigma Galaxy 43%Gaimin Gladiators 57%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerYuma
44% · 106 games57% · 48 games
Svendyrachyo
Sven
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMinD_ContRoL
50% · 227 games50% · 91 game
Templar AssassinQuinn
Templar Assassin
Warlock
WarlockKuroKy
42% · 29 games60% · 80 games
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritGH
47% · 59 games49% · 68 games
EarthshakertOfu
Earthshaker
53% · 134 games
Nature's ProphetSeleri
Nature's Prophet
Game 2prediction missed42:34
Nigma Galaxy 46%Gaimin Gladiators 54%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 45:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
63% · 4 games52% · 55 games
Sniperdyrachyo
Sniper
Rubick
RubickMinD_ContRoL
48% · 255 games47% · 64 games
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Dazzle
DazzleKuroKy
53% · 11 games52% · 66 games
MagnusAce
Magnus
Earthshaker
EarthshakerGH
52% · 82 games46% · 117 games
MarciSeleri
Marci
52% · 50 games
WindrangertOfu
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2