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BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 38 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 35 games
57%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 34 games
53%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
66%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 27 games
81%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
77%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 49 games
71%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 41 game
66%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 39 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 37 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 32 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
440 picks · 209 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 515 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
328 picks · 344 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
305 picks · 519 bans
53%
Morphling
Morphling
295 picks · 574 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
294 picks · 478 bans
46%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
276 picks · 655 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
259 picks · 493 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total77% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:37
9Pandas 34%Gaimin Gladiators 66%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenRAMZES666
55% · 91 game44% · 50 games
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Puck
Puckkiyotaka
49% · 176 games53% · 48 games
Medusadyrachyo
Medusa
Mars
MarsMieRo
49% · 128 games49% · 252 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSolo
50% · 184 games53% · 90 games
InvokertOfu
Invoker
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritAntares
43% · 77 games52% · 216 games
BatriderSeleri
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct12:21
9Pandas 36%Gaimin Gladiators 64%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 23:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Night Stalker
Night StalkerRAMZES666
40% · 11 games45% · 10 games
Bristlebackdyrachyo
Bristleback
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
48% · 51 game52% · 220 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Lycan
LycanMieRo
55% · 84 games49% · 91 game
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAntares
47% · 138 games50% · 66 games
Shadow DemontOfu
Shadow Demon
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSolo
53% · 124 games46% · 21 game
GrimstrokeSeleri
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 77%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2