BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 35 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 27 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 22 games
Team Secret
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 14 games
Snapfire
Armel · 14 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
Magnus
Armel · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
439 picks · 210 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 516 bans
Techies
330 picks · 344 bans
Batrider
306 picks · 522 bans
Morphling
297 picks · 577 bans
Undying
294 picks · 481 bans
Timbersaw
277 picks · 657 bans
Storm Spirit
257 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 29%
Hero pool strength61% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:25
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Team Secret 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Secret in 32:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenNightfall
RazorCrystallis
Ember SpiritgpK~
Storm SpiritSumaiL
BrewmasterPure~
Dark SeerFbz
TechiesSave-
Doomyamich
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Keeper of the LightPuppey
Game 2prediction correct34:18
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Team Secret 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BloodseekerNightfall
Ember SpiritSumaiL
InvokergpK~
SvenCrystallis
Legion CommanderPure~
UnderlordFbz
TechiesSave-
Nature's ProphetPuppey
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
Miranayamich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2