Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Disruptor
Panto · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 14 games
Rubick
Panto · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
Panto · 12 games
Timbersawoften banned
AfterLife · 12 games
Mirana
Gilgir · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 11 games
Techiesoften banned
Gilgir · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 212 bans
Techies
337 picks · 364 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 526 bans
Batrider
314 picks · 539 bans
Morphling
300 picks · 591 bans
Undying
293 picks · 486 bans
Timbersaw
281 picks · 670 bans
Storm Spirit
258 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:33
4 Zoomers 52%One Move 48%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by One Move in 25:08.
Game 2prediction missed7:47
4 Zoomers 52%One Move 48%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by One Move in 24:26.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 52%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2