IESF World Championship 2023 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Мьянмаwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Иорданияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Иордания
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
455 picks · 221 bans
Techies
454 picks · 486 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 654 bans
Ember Spirit
364 picks · 600 bans
Morphling
331 picks · 698 bans
Timbersaw
330 picks · 767 bans
Undying
309 picks · 517 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 70%
Hero pool strength50% Мьянма
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Мьянма
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:40
Мьянма 55%Иордания 45%
The model gave 55% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Иордания in 23:24.
Game 2prediction missed23:31
Мьянма 55%Иордания 45%
The model gave 55% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Иордания in 31:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteМьянма · 55%
Series resultМьянма 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2