IESF World Championship 2023 Dota 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Чехияloss 0:1series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
СШАwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Чехия
No games played over 6 months.
США
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
477 picks · 507 bans
Rubick
452 picks · 217 bans
Batrider
402 picks · 669 bans
Ember Spirit
363 picks · 615 bans
Morphling
337 picks · 710 bans
Timbersaw
331 picks · 765 bans
Storm Spirit
314 picks · 648 bans
Undying
314 picks · 523 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Чехия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% США
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Чехия 24%США 76%
The model gave 76% on США — the game was taken by США.
Model check result
Model favoriteСША · 76%
Series resultСША 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1