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BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 14 games
71%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
MiLAN · 11 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
OwnedMe · 10 games
80%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Daxak · 9 games
89%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
swedenstrong · 9 games
67%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Daxak · 8 games
63%
Techies
Techiessignature
MiLAN · 8 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Lorenof · 7 games
71%

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 24 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
so bad · 13 games
85%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
v1olent- · 13 games
85%
Doom
Doomsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Hellscream · 10 games
50%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Hellscream · 10 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
v1olent- · 10 games
60%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
623 picks · 676 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
486 picks · 296 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
432 picks · 899 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
389 picks · 810 bans
48%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
385 picks · 393 bans
49%
Doom
Doom
382 picks · 859 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
356 picks · 935 bans
54%
Pugna
Pugna
355 picks · 416 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:17
Level UP 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 47:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenDaxak
55% · 96 games59% · 41 game
RazorMalr1ne
Razor
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLorenof
51% · 86 games52% · 108 games
Slarkv1olent-
Slark
Timbersaw
TimbersawOwnedMe
44% · 120 games52% · 127 games
Dark SeerCorrupted
Dark Seer
Silencer
SilencerMiLAN
47% · 168 games43% · 86 games
PhoenixRodjER
Phoenix
Lion
Lionswedenstrong
52% · 36 games48% · 144 games
Spirit BreakerHellscream
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct40:4
Level UP 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosDaxak
53% · 17 games46% · 85 games
Medusav1olent-
Medusa
Leshrac
LeshracLorenof
57% · 170 games51% · 84 games
Void SpiritMalr1ne
Void Spirit
Brewmaster
BrewmasterOwnedMe
44% · 39 games53% · 88 games
Dark SeerCorrupted
Dark Seer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMiLAN
44% · 166 games48% · 496 games
RubickHellscream
Rubick
Tiny
Tinyswedenstrong
55% · 375 games38% · 14 games
GrimstrokeRodjER
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 53%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2