BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Allianceloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 14 games
Silenceroften banned
MiLAN · 11 games
Primal Beastsignature
OwnedMe · 10 games
Pugnasignature
swedenstrong · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Daxak · 8 games
Naga Sirensignature
Daxak · 8 games
Techiessignature
MiLAN · 8 games
Queen of Painsignature
Lorenof · 7 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
623 picks · 676 bans
Rubick
485 picks · 294 bans
Batrider
431 picks · 899 bans
Ember Spirit
389 picks · 809 bans
Spirit Breaker
385 picks · 393 bans
Doom
382 picks · 859 bans
Beastmaster
356 picks · 932 bans
Pugna
355 picks · 416 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 41%
Hero pool strength59% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:21
Level UP 69%Alliance 31%
The model gave 69% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 23:12.
Game 2prediction correct16:37
Level UP 69%Alliance 31%
The model gave 69% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 37:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 69%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2