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BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KZ TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 17 games
41%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
dEsire · 17 games
59%
Mirana
Miranasignature
dEsire · 15 games
60%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Snapfire
Snapfire
SsaSpartan · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 13 games
46%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
SsaSpartan · 12 games
58%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
SsaSpartan · 12 games
50%

One Move

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 11 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Panto · 11 games
55%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Gilgir · 11 games
27%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 10 games
80%
Mirana
Mirana
Gilgir · 10 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 10 games
30%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
AfterLife · 10 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Munkushi~ · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
623 picks · 676 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
482 picks · 291 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
431 picks · 895 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 809 bans
47%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
384 picks · 393 bans
49%
Doom
Doom
382 picks · 859 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
354 picks · 923 bans
54%
Pugna
Pugna
353 picks · 416 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:23
KZ TEAM 51%One Move 49%
The model gave 51% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 49:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetW1sh-
53% · 478 games48% · 204 games
Shadow FiendMunkushi~
Shadow Fiend
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNande
50% · 186 games53% · 335 games
Ember SpiritAinkrad
Ember Spirit
Axe
AxeSkyLark
52% · 39 games42% · 88 games
Centaur WarrunnerAfterLife
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranadEsire
56% · 460 games47% · 717 games
RubickPanto
Rubick
Snapfire
SnapfireSsaSpartan
48% · 634 games49% · 453 games
UndyingXakoda
Undying
Game 2prediction missed45:34
KZ TEAM 45%One Move 55%
The model gave 55% on One Move — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 55:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperNande
39% · 105 games53% · 201 game
TerrorbladeMunkushi~
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainW1sh-
53% · 99 games56% · 364 games
BeastmasterAinkrad
Beastmaster
Rubick
RubickdEsire
42% · 611 games57% · 37 games
Witch DoctorAfterLife
Witch Doctor
Pugna
PugnaSsaSpartan
52% · 152 games52% · 349 games
DisruptorXakoda
Disruptor
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderSkyLark
41% · 60 games55% · 76 games
IoPanto
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 52%
Series resultKZ TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2