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BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KZ TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 18 games
78%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
so bad · 12 games
83%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
v1olent- · 12 games
83%
Doom
Doomsignature
Corrupted · 11 games
73%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Hellscream · 10 games
40%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Hellscream · 9 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 9 games
56%

KZ TEAM

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
dEsire · 19 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 17 games
41%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
SkyLark · 15 games
47%
Mirana
Miranasignature
dEsire · 15 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
SsaSpartan · 15 games
40%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
SsaSpartan · 12 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
SsaSpartan · 12 games
58%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
SsaSpartan · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
621 picks · 676 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
474 picks · 288 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
429 picks · 890 bans
52%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
384 picks · 390 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
381 picks · 804 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
379 picks · 859 bans
54%
Pugna
Pugna
353 picks · 416 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
350 picks · 914 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:13
Nemiga Gaming 55%KZ TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidv1olent-
52% · 96 games45% · 81 game
JuggernautNande
Juggernaut
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
50% · 287 games47% · 28 games
TinkerW1sh-
Tinker
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCorrupted
58% · 132 games51% · 96 games
UnderlordSkyLark
Underlord
Phoenix
PhoenixRodjER
49% · 124 games49% · 630 games
RubickdEsire
Rubick
Snapfire
SnapfireHellscream
42% · 324 games56% · 128 games
Shadow DemonSsaSpartan
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct41:17
Nemiga Gaming 56%KZ TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 41:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenv1olent-
47% · 77 games44% · 63 games
Anti-MageNande
Anti-Mage
Timbersaw
TimbersawMalr1ne
51% · 227 games48% · 112 games
Queen of PainW1sh-
Queen of Pain
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCorrupted
54% · 131 game54% · 106 games
UnderlordSkyLark
Underlord
Snapfire
SnapfireHellscream
46% · 342 games45% · 713 games
RubickdEsire
Rubick
Disruptor
DisruptorRodjER
52% · 334 games58% · 117 games
Shadow DemonSsaSpartan
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2