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ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 30 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 29 games
62%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
fy · 26 games
46%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 25 games
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 23 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 23 games
70%

Team Resilience

Muerta
Muertaoften banned
poyoyo · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 4 games
75%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
zzq · 3 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
zzq · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
pLAnet · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
515 picks · 422 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
477 picks · 252 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 537 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 355 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
414 picks · 356 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
361 picks · 809 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 861 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
348 picks · 203 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:34
Xtreme Gaming 71%Team Resilience 29%
The model gave 71% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 37:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
51% · 425 games48% · 158 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Alchemist
AlchemistAme
52% · 94 games52% · 334 games
Tinypoyoyo
Tiny
Tidehunter
TidehunterXiao8
50% · 267 games44% · 228 games
PangolierEcho
Pangolier
Windranger
Windrangerfy
55% · 263 games43% · 219 games
Phoenixzzq
Phoenix
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernxNova
55% · 16 games53% · 126 games
RubickpLAnet
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed18:40
Xtreme Gaming 67%Team Resilience 33%
The model gave 67% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 46:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidAme
52% · 84 games54% · 79 games
Kezpoyoyo
Kez
Pangolier
PangolierNothingToSay
47% · 236 games48% · 300 games
Batriderniu
Batrider
Necrophos
NecrophosXiao8
little data58% · 165 games
Sand KingEcho
Sand King
Muerta
Muertafy
50% · 108 games48% · 116 games
ClockwerkpLAnet
Clockwerk
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
46% · 246 games41% · 14 games
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 83%
Series resultTeam Resilience 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2