Фиджитал Игры по Dota 2. Сезон 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Miranasignature
Nuages · 27 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 21 game
Rubick
Jupiter · 13 games
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Hyko · 11 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
mini-` · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 9 games
Infinity Esports
Rubick
Kiri · 15 games
Snapfire
Kiri · 12 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 11 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 11 games
Tusk
Kiri · 10 games
Disruptor
Prada · 9 games
Tiny
Kiri · 9 games
Clockwerk
Prada · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
645 picks · 688 bans
Rubick
531 picks · 345 bans
Doom
449 picks · 957 bans
Batrider
433 picks · 938 bans
Ember Spirit
410 picks · 862 bans
Storm Spirit
395 picks · 873 bans
Beastmaster
389 picks · 997 bans
Void Spirit
388 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total68% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:9
Infamous 32%Infinity Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infamous in 42:35.
Game 2prediction missed31:15
Infamous 32%Infinity Esports 68%
The model gave 68% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infamous in 34:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 68%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2