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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TSMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 32 games
66%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 29 games
72%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 24 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%

TSM

Rubick
Rubick
Ari · 49 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 26 games
50%
Lycan
Lycansignature
kasane · 18 games
67%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Whitemon · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ari · 16 games
63%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Timado · 16 games
63%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Whitemon · 14 games
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
bryle- · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
644 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
524 picks · 344 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
444 picks · 962 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
428 picks · 937 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
409 picks · 860 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
392 picks · 863 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
388 picks · 998 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
388 picks · 345 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 24%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:8
BETBOOM TEAM 70%TSM 30%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenNightfall
50% · 171 game53% · 253 games
BroodmotherTimado
Broodmother
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
53% · 80 games56% · 24 games
Necrophosbryle-
Necrophos
Death Prophet
Death ProphetgpK~
50% · 92 games49% · 146 games
Dark Seerkasane
Dark Seer
Techies
TechiesSave-
48% · 168 games45% · 185 games
Spirit BreakerAri
Spirit Breaker
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
41% · 176 games61% · 79 games
LionWhitemon
Lion
Game 2prediction correct35:21
BETBOOM TEAM 71%TSM 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
52% · 331 game47% · 418 games
Snapfirebryle-
Snapfire
Puck
PuckgpK~
50% · 239 games47% · 123 games
Drow RangerTimado
Drow Ranger
Pudge
PudgePure~
55% · 131 game53% · 226 games
Enigmakasane
Enigma
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 516 games49% · 389 games
BatriderAri
Batrider
Techies
TechiesSave-
48% · 254 games48% · 315 games
ClockwerkWhitemon
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2