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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 32 games
66%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
68%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 27 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 23 games
70%

Talon Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Q · 29 games
59%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Oli · 27 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Q · 24 games
71%
Tusk
Tusk
Q · 24 games
58%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 23 games
65%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 23 games
74%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 20 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
639 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
516 picks · 338 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
450 picks · 967 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 925 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 858 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 350 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
387 picks · 1002 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
382 picks · 447 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:27
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Talon Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
48% · 109 games53% · 177 games
Naga Siren23savage
Naga Siren
Pudge
PudgePure~
56% · 148 games48% · 182 games
Templar AssassinMikoto
Templar Assassin
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
45% · 477 games53% · 237 games
EnigmaJabz
Enigma
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 487 games48% · 678 games
RubickQ
Rubick
Techies
TechiesSave-
51% · 336 games48% · 283 games
SilencerOli
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct21:12
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Talon Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanNightfall
55% · 163 games46% · 161 game
Terrorblade23savage
Terrorblade
Necrophos
NecrophosgpK~
63% · 29 games55% · 97 games
LinaMikoto
Lina
Tidehunter
TidehunterPure~
49% · 149 games42% · 82 games
PhoenixJabz
Phoenix
Batrider
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 326 games46% · 317 games
Ember SpiritQ
Ember Spirit
Techies
TechiesSave-
53% · 265 games44% · 275 games
UndyingOli
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2