?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PSG Questloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 58 games
74%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 43 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 39 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 36 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
69%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 32 games
72%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 31 game
68%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 43 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 30 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 27 games
63%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 23 games
57%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kaori · 23 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
No!ob · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 23 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
638 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 335 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
452 picks · 976 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 931 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 860 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 351 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
382 picks · 1002 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
381 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:21
Gaimin Gladiators 52%PSG Quest 48%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 44:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
56% · 186 games45% · 161 game
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Timbersaw
TimbersawQuinn
51% · 310 games57% · 117 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Lycan
LycanAce
53% · 185 games47% · 208 games
Death ProphetNo!ob
Death Prophet
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
51% · 418 games48% · 491 game
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagetOfu
47% · 221 game44% · 343 games
UndyingKaori
Undying
Game 2prediction correct25:28
Gaimin Gladiators 50%PSG Quest 50%
The model gave 50% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 51:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherdyrachyo
52% · 278 games47% · 235 games
Naga SirenTA2000
Naga Siren
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
53% · 467 games49% · 149 games
TidehunterMalik
Tidehunter
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
53% · 436 games47% · 200 games
Void SpiritNo!ob
Void Spirit
Pugna
PugnatOfu
51% · 196 games48% · 570 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Lion
LionSeleri
49% · 90 games50% · 313 games
DisruptorKaori
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2