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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 48 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 43 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 38 games
71%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 37 games
62%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 33 games
73%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 32 games
66%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
46%

Xtreme Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 22 games
55%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Dy · 19 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 17 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Kaka · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
JT- · 14 games
71%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Ghost · 13 games
85%
Lion
Lion
Kaka · 12 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
JT- · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
638 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 332 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
450 picks · 976 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 929 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 860 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 351 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
382 picks · 1001 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
381 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 41%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:31
9Pandas 52%Xtreme Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 31:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautRAMZES666
61% · 74 games45% · 7 games
MeepoJT-
Meepo
Doom
DoomMieRo
58% · 232 games44% · 149 games
BloodseekerGhost
Bloodseeker
Windranger
Windrangerkiyotaka
49% · 99 games49% · 254 games
Ember SpiritPaparazi
Ember Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaSolo
50% · 129 games54% · 40 games
Elder TitanDy
Elder Titan
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritAntares
44% · 24 games45% · 108 games
Skywrath MageXinQ
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct32:37
9Pandas 52%Xtreme Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 41:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautRAMZES666
50% · 79 games48% · 15 games
MeepoJT-
Meepo
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
52% · 341 game48% · 97 games
Chaos KnightGhost
Chaos Knight
Visage
VisageMieRo
55% · 119 games50% · 372 games
PangolierPaparazi
Pangolier
Doom
DoomAntares
53% · 261 game45% · 76 games
Winter WyvernXinQ
Winter Wyvern
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSolo
51% · 93 games47% · 333 games
UndyingDy
Undying
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2