Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Doomoften banned
33 · 37 games
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 31 game
Mirana
Sneyking · 30 games
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 29 games
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 29 games
Snapfiresignature
Saksa · 29 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Nine · 23 games
Techiessignature
Sneyking · 23 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 28 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 24 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
638 picks · 691 bans
Rubick
499 picks · 329 bans
Doom
452 picks · 978 bans
Batrider
403 picks · 930 bans
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 857 bans
Void Spirit
393 picks · 353 bans
Beastmaster
382 picks · 1012 bans
Pugna
380 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:43
Tundra Esports 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerSkiter
TerrorbladeNightfall
RazorNine
SnapfiregpK~
Doom33
AxePure~
RubickSaksa
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
IoSneyking
TechiesSave-
Game 2prediction missed26:43
Tundra Esports 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeSkiter
BroodmotherNightfall
MarsNine
EnchantressSave-
Dark Seer33
WindrangergpK~
ChenSneyking
Legion CommanderPure~
LionSaksa
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 70%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2