?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 48 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 33 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 32 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
74%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 29 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 26 games
73%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 24 games
50%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 35 games
66%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 27 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 25 games
80%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 24 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kaori · 21 game
57%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Kaori · 21 game
62%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
TA2000 · 20 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
No!ob · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
640 picks · 690 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
476 picks · 323 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
459 picks · 988 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 850 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
391 picks · 936 bans
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 353 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
380 picks · 1005 bans
57%
Pugna
Pugna
378 picks · 448 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:32
9Pandas 54%PSG Quest 46%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 44:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
60% · 160 games50% · 226 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
46% · 275 games53% · 336 games
TinyNo!ob
Tiny
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
50% · 260 games59% · 103 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Silencer
SilencerSolo
50% · 381 game42% · 512 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
45% · 205 games48% · 104 games
Shadow DemonKaori
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed23:28
9Pandas 54%PSG Quest 46%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 33:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinkiyotaka
49% · 183 games53% · 52 games
Phantom LancerTA2000
Phantom Lancer
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightRAMZES666
49% · 134 games47% · 211 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Chen
ChenSolo
58% · 78 games49% · 82 games
MarsMalik
Mars
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
49% · 134 games47% · 303 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerAntares
52% · 182 games51% · 63 games
OracleKaori
Oracle
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 58%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2