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ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Mideng Dreamerloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 21 game
38%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 18 games
28%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 17 games
35%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moon · 17 games
29%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 16 games
38%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 16 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Yang · 14 games
43%

Mideng Dreamer

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
7e · 4 games
50%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Yumeyume · 3 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
BEYOND · 2 games
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Undyne_ · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Undyne_ · 2 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
7e · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
518 picks · 428 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
473 picks · 243 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
472 picks · 527 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 353 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
417 picks · 355 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
357 picks · 798 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 856 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
347 picks · 205 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Mideng Dreamer
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:16
Yakult Brothers 64%Mideng Dreamer 36%
The model gave 64% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 33:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinylou
47% · 380 games51% · 200 games
KezYumeyume
Kez
Puck
PuckMoon
50% · 317 games50% · 238 games
Sand King7e
Sand King
Axe
AxeJT-
43% · 153 games54% · 455 games
SlardarBEYOND
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBoBoKa
53% · 330 games49% · 537 games
WarlockUndyne_
Warlock
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
53% · 250 games
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 77%
Series resultYakult Brothers 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1